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US Federal Govt Fiscal Impulse Insights
Market Snapshot: Taxes & Tariffs – The Two Faces of Fiscal Policy

The House of Representatives passed the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB) on May 22nd, advancing the reconciliation process to the Senate where it may undergo further revisions. …

GIM-Market-Snapshot-Chart-Image Insights
Market Snapshot: Tariff Rates, Market Risks, and Corporate Reluctance

Each year of the 2020s has featured market volatility driven by distinct catalysts. In 2020, COVID-19 fears dominated markets. Volatility subsided in 2021 but remained elevated around …

GIM Market Snapshot Image 2025-05-15 Insights
Market Snapshot: Trade Deal Dominos Begin to Fall

The contours of a new “U.S.-U.K. Economic Prosperity Deal” were announced last week, marking what could be the first of many more trade agreements to come. Key …

Estimated Tariff Impact on GDP Growth Insights
Tariff Update

Big Tariffs on the Table The announcement of a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs is a considerable (albeit temporary) weight lifted from a tariff program that is …

GIM Quarterly Letter Chart Q1 2025 v2 Insights
The Quarterly Letter Q1 2025: Economic & Market Recap

Executive Summary The new administration kicked off with a flurry of policy changes highlighted by new tariffs, cost-cutting efforts and tax policy discussions in Congress. Growth expectations …

Insights
Market Snapshot: Tariffs and Tantrums and Trade, Oh My!

On March 13, 2025, the S&P 500 entered correction territory, closing ~10% lower than its all-time high. Since 1927, intra-year declines of 10% or more occurred in …

Annual Earnings Growth - S&P 500 vs. S&P 493 vs. Magnificent 7 Insights
Market Snapshot: Earnings Surprises—Mag 7 Approaching Lag 7

Positive earnings surprises for the Magnificent Seven have been more in line with the broader S&P 500 index this year relative to last year, suggesting that expectations …

Web_Snapshot_Concentration Insights
Market Snapshot: Flipping the Script on Market Concentration

An alternative argument to concentration is the underperformance of the S&P 500 cap weighted versus equal weighted index. Over the past 66 years, the S&P 500 Equal-Weight …

WEB_Snapshot_Volatility Insights
Market Snapshot: 2025 Volatility Du Jour

From 2010 to 2019, release dates for nonfarm payroll (NFP), Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings and Consumer Price Index (CPI) announcements didn’t experience unusual volatility as …

Market Chart q424 Insights
The Quarterly Statement Q4 2024: Concentration ’24 and a Look Ahead

Market Review: Fourth Quarter 2024 What We Know: Q4 2024 Recap The S&P 500 Index saw its fifth straight quarter of positive returns, finishing Q4 2024 with …