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Thought Leadership

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Insights
Market Snapshot: September Brings Market Falls, December Brings Santa Rallies 

Our analysis of S&P Composite returns from 1871 to Present – a span of over 150 years – shows that September has been unmistakably the weakest month …

Earnings Surprise Top Seven Average versus S&P 500 Insights
Market Snapshot: Magnificent Seven’s Less Than Magnificent Earnings Surprises

While the Q2 2024 earnings season has been favorable for U.S. large cap stocks, the Magnificent Seven1 (Mag 7) earnings surprises failed to maintain their magnificence relative …

Net Zero image Insights
Navigating the Net-Zero Maze
2024 Election Volatility Insights
Market Snapshot: 2024 Election Volatility Elevated

A volatility-adjusted five-day outperformance for small caps in mid-July could bode well for their continued outperformance. We believe higher quality small caps offer an attractive risk/reward relative to passive large caps.

Small Cap Momentum Insights
Market Snapshot: Is Small Cap Momentum Just Getting Started?

A volatility-adjusted five-day outperformance for small caps in mid-July could bode well for their continued outperformance. We believe higher quality small caps offer an attractive risk/reward relative to passive large caps.

Dividends’ Contribution to Total Returns by Decade – 1926-2023 Insights
Dividend Investing: Potential to Build Wealth & Reduce Risk

We believe owning dividend-paying companies that are also effectively reinvesting in their businesses can be a successful equity strategy. Our white paper dives deeper into our analysis of the impact of dividends on returns, risk and the business.

Seven Magnificent Charts of Concerning Historic Concentration in U.S. Large Cap Passive Indices Insights
The Quarterly Statement Q2 2024: Seven Magnificent Charts of Concerning Historic Concentration in U.S. Large Cap Passive Indices

Market Review Second Quarter 2024 What We Know: Q2 2024 Recap U.S. equity markets continued their bull-market rally with the S&P 500 Index reaching new market highs …

Russell Rebalancing Insights
Market Snapshot: Russell Rebalancing Into More Concentrated Growth

Preliminary data suggest the Russell 1000 Growth Index will be less diversified than at any point in its history, following rebalancing on June 28.

R-Star Table Insights
Market Snapshot: Why the Cyclicality of R-Star Keeps our Bands of Uncertainty Wide

Analyzing the neutral rate of interest (r-star)¹ by dividing the history into cycle regimes of approximately 20 years shows a stronger statistical relationship to real interest rates …

Long Odds_Lottery Chances vs Beating Magnificent Seven in 2023 Insights
Market Snapshot: Viewing Drawdowns as a Bump in the Road

Based on our analysis, a 5% drawdown is just under twice as likely to be a non-event (less than -10% peak drawdown) versus becoming a correction (a …